Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 144.152378 164.723830 187.615565 215.052765 247.142217 283.601614 328.328120
2025-11-23 114.331244 140.723929 172.685316 214.526848 268.277875 335.571617 427.083139
2025-11-30 98.195540 127.313134 164.744077 216.957798 288.809618 385.531287 527.838642
2025-12-07 83.572576 112.751266 152.026659 209.599076 293.262415 412.648114 599.995599
2025-12-14 74.024420 103.333015 144.378964 207.205410 302.999170 447.004482 686.584920
2025-12-21 67.808674 97.610922 140.875168 209.770652 319.593827 492.935849 797.761180
2025-12-28 64.218227 95.157610 141.626108 218.475563 346.346334 558.000490 951.159383
2026-01-04 60.338449 91.748092 140.382662 223.611479 367.624590 616.678148 1103.593616
2026-01-11 55.535823 86.350501 135.341538 221.722867 376.435671 654.629661 1224.142394
2026-01-18 52.704654 83.794976 134.551374 226.786632 397.885875 718.111267 1405.774944
2026-01-25 49.178889 79.733927 130.794509 226.099419 408.527150 762.500345 1556.487001
2026-02-01 46.878209 77.509126 129.912708 230.411203 429.033789 828.998152 1767.697487
2026-02-08 43.747380 73.858900 126.682824 230.984271 444.395778 891.931220 1996.200838
2026-02-15 40.694929 70.099114 122.946640 230.293465 457.522684 953.524760 2240.217160
2026-02-22 38.420256 67.505401 121.048360 232.923981 477.958143 1035.009837 2556.244520
2026-03-01 35.103027 62.662838 114.384179 224.948090 473.923264 1059.117763 2726.758752
2026-03-08 32.758165 59.441763 110.526627 222.354382 481.601443 1112.754337 2994.957405
2026-03-15 31.219269 57.627425 109.253312 225.134011 502.202328 1202.645342 3396.850625
2026-03-22 30.469578 57.286195 110.904164 234.569194 540.382422 1346.237590 4012.961069
2026-03-29 29.394135 56.188695 110.866694 240.137937 569.861978 1472.770997 4618.423591
2026-04-05 27.733311 53.749414 107.748668 238.089996 579.328121 1544.781800 5060.347236
2026-04-12 26.830730 52.809547 107.771336 243.581388 609.839633 1685.593473 5808.698941
2026-04-19 25.503629 50.859644 105.382777 242.836059 623.107558 1776.860434 6402.117395